Hong Kong’s Unknown Future

Interesting Article form Taipei Times

Some pro-China politicians in Taiwan often looks at Hong Kong and describe it as the success of 1 country 2 system policy of China.  Their argument often goes like this “hey, Hong Kong turns out alright.  If it works for Hong Kong, it must work for Taiwan.”  Some even goes so far as saying the system in Hong Kong which limited political freedom is better than the direct democratic system of Taiwan.  Again, this type of argument is often based on cultural and racial biases  (Democracy does not work for Asian people), advocated by Asian dictators in China and Singapore etc.  Some in the west even agree (a liberal society with authoritarian rule in Hong Kong seems to work out quite well.)

The fact is, Hong Kong and Taiwan is completely different in so many ways.  Putting aside their stupid argument that Hong Kong’s system is better, the fact that it is so different, using Hong Kong as a support for 2 systems, 1 country for Taiwan is quite ridiculous.  On top of that, the recent violent protests in Hong Kong shows that there are actually many problems and some people in Hong Kong are fed up with them.  So Hong Kong is not a so called good example that Taiwan should look up to.

The cold reality is, only when it comes to money and turf, democracy becomes important, to the point that people could actually risk their lives for it.  Before, I am sure most Hong Kong people are just uncertain and have some anxiety about what will happens, that is why they are relatively calm, and no one actually tried to get a full democratic system to work.  Hey, if it isn’t broken, why fix it?  However, IMO, people have miscalculated.

During the British rule, does UK really give a sh*t about Hong Kong?  No.  And that is why Hong Kong is successful.  It is exactly because no one gives a sh*t about it that it turns out OK even though there is no democratic system in place.  Because in this codition, the benefits of democratic system does not stand out.  Now, China is a much closer and much more authoritative regime, could it actually let Hong Kong have its free style way?  This, people should be alarmed already.  China “cares” about Hong Kong in so many way.  In fact, Hong Kong is part of the key of Chinese economic investment node.  Because it “cares,” money, land and opportunity become big issues, and that is where people start to wish for a good democratic system.

Another interesting observation is how the society of Hong Kong has sacrifice the weakest among the society for profit.  It is quite interesting how they bring excessive competition to the young, and the living condition of the poor is really…intolerable.  All this does not happen over night…this is an accumulated policy result of the past few years.

Everyone says competition is good.  No, only “fair” competition is good.  The political system in Hong Kong has created this mutated society in which unfair advantages have been given to the big corporation, new Chinese workers and the pro-China groups…discontent will only grow.  But perhaps eventually it will die down again, who knows. 

Like in Taiwan, in the past, children of new comers (mainlanders that follow the KMT), were given unfair advantage in educational system in Taiwan.  Of course, after a while people just got used to it, and think, well, my life turn out to be OK as well.  It’s nice to be contend.   However, if you look at it as a whole, you realize how much sacrifice Taiwanese has to give for this unfair treatment.  How many that could have become more educated, lost the opportunity?  How many have to sacrifice their youth and time, just to squeeze in, while some others could get a 60% mark and still get into top Universities?

Unfortunately the truth is, the wrong policy setup by the 40 to 60 years old people often effect the next young generation.  Their wrong decision or laziness will not effect them, because they are probably dead or enjoying their retirement already.  However, the young will suffer the consequences.  Hong Kong certainly looks like this.  If the older generation has some balls to ask for more democratic system under the more lenient British rule, they are more likely to succeed, because hey, who in the UK cares?  If the voice is loud and noisy enough.  But because the previous generation does not do this, now the next generation has too…and under a much worse situation.

Or perhaps I think too much.  Does it really matter?  Even if a proper democratic system is setup in Hong Kong, will China not manipulate and castrate the system?

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