Archive for the ‘Pure Politics’ Category

Mr. 曹 Has A Very Good Point

http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/jan/2/today-p4.htm

Mr. 曹長青 has a very good point, especially the following paragraph is once again a very good warning:

如果民進黨的中國政策最後也是向中國傾斜,以所謂「不讓國民黨壟斷」,要讓北京聽到民進黨的聲音為由,也爭相跑去北京,那麼在這場「傾斜中國」的比賽中,民進黨一定是輸家。因為民進黨不管怎麼傾斜,都比不過國民黨。事實上,北京對台灣的情況相當瞭解,並不存在不瞭解民進黨的問題。那些提出「不讓國民黨壟斷」的人,其實只是為他們「傾斜中國」的企圖找藉口。綠營的一位高層人士來美國演講時,曾擬定講題「調整兩岸關係,縮短兩黨距離」,說白了,就是要民進黨高層也往中國跑,要民進黨的中國政策朝向國民黨。在五十步笑百步的情況下,誰是贏家呢?

Once again, people in Taiwan (both KMT and DPP) have to realize the nature of CCP.  CCP is a dictator that attempts to build a “China Centric” world and holding on its power tightly.  But most importantly, like what Mr. 曹 said, THEY ARE NOT MORONS, so don’t treat them like one.

The accusation of a few DPP members being 傾斜中國 might not necessarily be true.  However, the human mind is a complex thing that can change in an instance, and who is to say there are not some truth in this statement.  Certainly, in the past, both DPP and TSU (Taiwan Solitary Union) have many traitorous members and Chinese centric thinkers (許信良、陳文茜、賴幸媛,just to name a few).

Ma is Still Living in Fantasy Land

http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/jan/2/today-fo1.htm

I cannot believe Ma said such things in the new year.  He seems to be living in a fantasy land.  Somehow he thinks this ghost of ROC is the “chosen one” of some sort that will be the leader of greater China and Chinese civilization lol.

Only 2 types of people will share this “wet dream.”  One, those arrogant morons who somehow think they are “superior Chinese” that can “lead” the “Chinese civilization.”  Two, those in China who want to annex Taiwan and are glad that such arrogance exist, and would like to use the false pride of the few as a tool against Taiwan.

Look, the only people that can decide the path of China are Chinese.  They don’t need a bunch of fools to lead them around, especially not KMT.

In any case, whatever he said in this part completely lost the point to any pragmatic Taiwanese.  What he said and what his party do is not in the interest of Taiwan.  All Ma and his party did in the past 3 years in strengthening China and CCP while weakening Taiwan.  Any pragmatic person would have a more concrete vision such as a better Taiwan instead of this weird and illusive “greater China” imperial dream.

I also fear that these type of people who strongly believe in some borderline lunatic theology are prone to extreme emotion and actions.  However, due to the fact that Ma and his government hides all ROC flags and symbols during the visit of small officials from China, it is possible that they are doing and saying this as a facade and lie.

Similar to some of the religious leaders, they uphold this religion not for their beliefs in  Heaven or God, but for money and power.  Whether they are a bunch of religious fanatics or religious hustlers remain to be seen.  But in either case they are most likely leading Taiwan to disaster. 

Fortunately I do think that those who truly believe them are extremely minority in Taiwan.  However, with KMT spending huge amount of government money in advertisement and changing school curriculum, I fear they are once again spreading their drug throughout Taiwanese society.

Random Thoughts on Election Result

Following is just some random thoughts…no real organizations:

The 5 metropolitan area election is over. KMT maintains the hold of the 3 metropolitan areas, and DPP maintains the 2, although DPP did gain substantial increase of votes overall (now the situation is really 50-50, not 40-60). The result I would say is a stalemate. Neither side really gain much when all things considered. Even the city console election reflects this situation (130 DPP and 130 KMT). Therefore, although DPP continue to gain support after Ma became president, DPP did not win this election.

On the one hand, there were so many things going wrong for KMT, it is really a surprise to me (and probably a lot of people) that they are still able to hold the 3 metropolitan areas. On the other hand, they are indeed losing votes. From the DPP’s perspective, it really sucks that after so much KMT screw up they still cannot gain 1 extra metropolitan area. But then again, they are able to gain more votes overall. Comparing to the elections before, this is probably the best result yet. However, it is true that the pace of DPP’s gain of support is not as fast as people thought, and I think that is the main reason for the disappointment. It is also quite interesting to observe that changes seem to come slowly in Taiwan. We usually don’t see a dramatic victory or loss over the years actually, at least for DPP.

Another thing that is really a surprise is how well DPP did in Taichung. It is not a surprise if we consider how Hu gradually losing votes and Su gaining votes over the course of the election. However, it is quite surprising if considering people’s expectation at the beginning of the election, when Hu has solid support. But I guess in the end the changes is not enough at the time of the election. It might be that if Su is given 1 or 2 more months, he might just win the Taichung election.

Another thing that DPP has to wonder about is why people in Taipei continue to have strong support KMT candidates. There might be two reasons. One is that majority of people in Taipei simply benefit more or have the perception that they gain more by supporting KMT. Now, maybe for these type of people, there is simply no way DPP can gain their votes, because their interests simply do not align with what DPP offers. Therefore, perhaps DPP should take this into considerations. Sure, DPP seems to gian ground in the younger voters, but there are a lot of older people in Taipei as well, and probably more than half of them will vote for KMT by default.

People really have to ponder on this one thing though: what does the high expenses of flora expo in Taipei really accomplish for Taiwan? Do Taipei citizens feel any better, more secure after the flora expo? How does the whole Taiwan feel about it? Shouldn’t the money be spent on something more worth while? The lack of strategic direction for Taipei is really scary. They can spend millions, putting Taipei City in huge deficit, to accomplish absolute NOTHING. I would say to pan green, don’t give up. Hau might have won the election, but their policy is absolutely a disaster when you look at it from the long-term perspective. Keep examining them, and truth will triumph.  (But again for those who don’t care…you simply just cannot win them over, and that is the unfortunate reality)

However, for DPP’s own benefits, I think it’s better for them to take this as losing (or at least not winning) and reassess: where they can win, where they cannot win, and how to win in the former completely.  (where in this case is not just geographical, but demographical and social as well).

There are a few things that worry me though:
KMT will interpret this as an approval of ECFA and further leaning toward China.  Given KMT’s past record of moving ahead even without solid support, approximately 45% support might seem to be enough for them to continue the current trend. The problem is not for DPP, but for Taiwan overall. Because strategically speaking KMT could create a huge blunder for Taiwan in the next 2 years.

PS.  The shooting of Sean Lien, some think it has a negative impact on DPP etc.  However, just how big or small the effects are is really difficult to assess.  Suffice to say though the shooting might add to the inaccuracy of the election.  In any case, I just hope things become clear later and KMT won’t try to hide stuff (because some of their politicians did try to use to incident to rally their supporters…they might try to exaggerate or cover up things to save face…we will have to wait and see).  However, I think overall it could not just be because of that single bullet….And if there are people who vote for KMT based on a single incident,  can DPP ever gain their supports anyway?

Taichung Should Get More Attention (Update)

http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2010/new/oct/1/today-p6.htm

Hsieh brought up some very valid points here.  What exactly happened to the pipe dream of Guggenheim Museum in Taichung?  What happened to the Opera House?  And other issues such a vibrant organize crime activities and the decay in the commercial zones near the Taichung train station?  It’s quite interesting no body pay a closer attention to this things over the years.  People are way too easy on mayor Hu.  No one really holds him accountable.  It does not seem to matter whether he and his team messed things up in Taichung.  Even many people in Taichung do not seem to care, which is really weird. 

My personal feeling is that Taichung should have become much better.  But perhaps people don’t pay attention because Taichung does not have huge budget like those in Taipei, and perhaps it is because there are no shocking news that everyone understands immediately (such as the problems at the flower expo).  Or perhaps, people only look at the new condo.  Nevertheless, there are issues…and they surely and quietly accumulated over the past decade.  It is this type of issues that are difficult to detect but still have profound impact.

Pan green recently keeps talking about the problems of flower expo in Taipei.  Pan blue keeps attacking the flood in Kaohsiung (in which some accusations are really ridiculous).  Those are all recent events and obviously they should talk about it, but funny how people did not talk about Taichung’s problems that long a few months ago when that murder occurred with police presence.  Now, do we even get a solid closure on that case?  NO!  For example, the police, how many are engaged with organized crime and to what level?  And what are the solutions to this long time crime problems in Taichung?  No one knows, and it seems no one gives a f**k. 

Ma had some seriously messed up project in Taipei, but when Hu spend millions on some illusive project planning no one seems to care.  Maybe similar to Ma, people will only look back at Taichung if one day Hu becomes the President, by then it would be too late.  People should really start to examine Hu’s term as Taichung mayor.  People do not have to attack him personally, but people need to examine what he had done in the past 8 years, because there are some serious problems and maybe even problems people do not know much about.  There is no point to go easy on him.

I have a feeling that people for some reason are really treating Hu like a fragile vase, similar to how people treat Ma before he became the president, maybe even worse.  That is why people say Hu has “good PR skill.”  But I think Hu, similar to Ma, is actually quite arrogant, based on the speech and Q&A he gave in media.  I think this is really stupid because they are head of a country or city.  People should at least hold them to some basic standards, not just evaluate them based on how “charming” they are (once again I don’t really understand why people think Ma and Hu are charismatic…to me they just aren’t…maybe it’s the media, who knows).

Update:  More new “discovery” from Hsiefinally DPP is paying serious attention to Taichung. 

You Need Expertise to Sell Taiwan Out?

I was going to say the same thing, but many people beat me to it.  Therefore I am not going to repeat the same idea here…it’s really stupid anyway.  Suffice to say…you don’t need to be a rocket scientist to sell Taiwan out, and Ma said is one of the stupidest thing I have ever heard (what Yang said was quite stupid as well, but the follow-up of Ma is even stupider).

Politicians Need More Humbleness

Recently there are some really bad drama acted out by the politicians in Taiwan…make you want to puke (figuratively speaking).

The first is from the Kaohsiung DPP politician Yang Chiu-hsing (楊秋興), who has announced that he is running in the mayoral election for the Kaohsiung Municipality.  I don’t know enough to answer the question “楊秋興 or 陳菊, who is more suitable to be the mayor.”  However, I don’t think the is the real issue here.  The problem is that 楊秋興 has not enough legitimacy to run for mayor, although it is his right to do so.  First of all, he was already Kaohsiung county mayor for 9 years…even if he performed well under his term, in the tradition of democratic system, shouldn’t he consider other paths?  Secondly, he lost the internal DPP election.  Even if he himself felt that it’s unfair to him for some reason, I don’t see how that can legitimize his action.

Furthermore, this election is more than just Municipalities elections…in the current context, it’s also a vote of no confidence against the Ma government in his recent surrendering policies toward China.  Also, 楊秋興 in answering reporters question, saying he joined the race because he does not want Kaohsiung to be behind anymore….etc etc.  But…he seemed to forget that he IS Kaohsiung county mayor for the past 9 years.  Why doesn’t he do something or say something if he thinks he can help the situation?  Does he think that he is the only person that can help Kaohsiung?  No other people in his party is better suited for the job?  Such attitude is indeed arrogant.  Although we the people outside of the circle do not know what he is thinking exactly, I think a bit more wisdom and humbleness will help him to become more of a team player instead of a “believer” of 星雲法師 (a pro-China political fake Buddhist monk) and a jerk.

Another person that showed a significant arrogance is Ma, during his speech in KMT party conference, in which he blamed the cause of current problems on DPP’s 8 years once again.  In his speech, it’s obvious that he thinks everything he did is correct and every opposition is wrong.  And in his own words, he said opposing ECFA means being enemies of the people lol.  That sounds exactly like communists and Nazi German.  Also, a lot of what he said simply does not make any sense (a lot of editorial mentioned it, and is also discussed here.  I won’t try to go over the BS point by point).  Once again, this shows Ma and KMT’s arrogance.  However, in this speech, you can also sense a little panic in Ma….because he does seem a bit emotionally unstable (or maybe he acted that way).  Perhaps he realized that many people, even those who voted for him, now view him as one that is selling Taiwan out little by little or view him as an incompetent politician.  That is why he wants to blame everything on the previous administration after 2 years.

In both cases, I think their abnormal behaviour will not help them in their career, but indeed could bite them in the ass.  The chance of 楊秋興 winning is near zero and already many pan green supporters take note and have much less respect for him (in not outright angry with him).  Ma’s usual blaming others for problems with extra emotional unstability will not help him in his image, KMT’s election or his own 2012 election.  Once again, these two events show that Taiwan’s democracy is indeed still not mature.  It also shows that a little humbleness and honest self-assessment really goes a long way IMO.

A Good Warning From Liberty Times

http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2010/new/jun/16/today-s1.htm

This is a very good warning to DPP.  Very insightful. 

DPP needs to understand the fundamental nature of CCP and KMT, the key failure of KMT.  Without those understanding and a solid principle, this type of policy will only be used by the CCP and KMT to shake the foundation of Taiwan.

The fundamental reasoning behind this platform concept seems to be to bring different voice and communication to the CCP.  However, to me, that just sounds way too naive.  The US has tried to do that for many years (through official/unofficial channels).  However, the result is very poor.  It seems to me, CCP does not lack understanding of Taiwan (although a lot of Chinese don’t have a damn clue except what CCP told them: Taiwan is part of China), but it is trying to use this knowledge to bring Taiwan down.

Just look at how the CCP lure KMT and its old guard, and now fully utilizing KMT as its agent within Taiwan.  Look at how it lures business to China, and create tension, division and problems within Taiwan.  Everything it does have traces of calculated scheme in them.  Even though not everything is by design, they certainly use every opportunity in trying to bring Taiwan down in a divide and conquer fashion. 

IMO, this has already happend during ex-President Chen’s time.  Hopefully DPP has learned and has enough wisdom  not repeat the same mistake.

ROFL, Orz, This is Getting Rediculous

Could this be the funniest news in 100 years?

建國一百 becomes 精彩一百!  This is too funny.  The phrase 精彩一百 doesn’t even make any sense! 

I actually don’t feel offended though.  If Ma does not recognize ROC’s founding, that is not my business, because what I care about is Taiwan being an independent nation.  In another word, ROC can disappear, but Taiwan has to keep existing.  Actually, it might be better if ROC disappear from Taiwan.  

Of course, in Ma and CCP’s mind, the disappearance of ROC naturally means the annexation of Taiwan, in their own twisted logic.  However, DPP should not try to defend ROC though.  Instead, it should advocate that ROC is destroyed and pronounced dead by Ma, and Taiwan has to move beyond ROC and form its own nation now. 

Either way, who can say Ma is not THE DESTROYER of ROC.  He is now casually hammering in the last few nails.  Taiwanese need to recognize this and know the implications.  We don’t need to care about ROC, but Ma is indeed intending to surrend Taiwan to the PRC, even though it’s not his to surrender.  That is where the problems and dangers lie. 

Diversions??

Recent resignation events in Ma administration make me wonder if they are just a diversion from ECFA.

Yes, both health care and death penalty are big issue.  In fact, they are universal and controversial issue everywhere.  We can discuss those problems any time.  But why NOW!!!

Certainly, health care issue have been there for quite some time.  This type of public health care always run into sustainability issue in every country.  Everyone praise the health care in Canada for example.  But some Canadian can tell you some serious issue with the health care in Canada.  In Taiwan, the issue could be worse because Taiwan is a low tax country, unlike Canada.  While many people, including me, like low tax, it also makes health care a huge burden on the government.  However, the cause of the current problem is not that there is not enough money.  If they get the money back from Taipei City then they have more than enough money without raising the tax on people.  Taipei City should really chill out a bit on their spending spree and give some money back to the health care, seriously.

Death penalty is an issue everywhere.  In my opinion, there is no right and wrong answer to it.  Personally I don’t have a damn clue.  I can argue this issue back and forth in my head all day, even after I read more about it on both side.  It is an issue where Law experts can argue for decades in Taiwan.  But why bring it up now and create a drama out of it? 

I suspect Ma is just using these two issues as diversion from the most serious issue Taiwan is facing: ECFA.

UPDATE: lol.  I check some forum in Taiwan and looks like I am not the only one feeling that all these divert the attention from ECFA and other serious issues.

UPDATE 2: For anyone doubting if Taipei City has enough money to pay, check this out.

Su Chi Step Down: A Sudden Move? Or A Timely Outcome

A lot of people are surprised by the recent step down of National Security Council (NSC) Secretary-General Su Chi.  I was also surprised, because he could have stepped down a few months ago.  Why now?

 However, after a few weeks, one can realize that step down is actually a good move.  After the Lunar New Year (or as most foreign call it, Chinese New Year…interestingly in Chinese, it’s not called Chinese New Year, but when they translated to English, they just have to add “Chinese” into it.  Idiots.  Heard some news that some Korean communities in the US are complaining, and they decide to change it to “Asian” New Year.  lol…I suspect next the Japanese and Philippine will complain…hey, WTF, we don’t have such New Year, why call it Asian New Year?  Are you racists?  But I cannot come up with a good name neither, so I will just call it Lunar New Year for now), people seem to forgot about all the beef fiasco created by Su Chi and Ma.  Some people even start to sympathize with Su Chi, saying something like he is actually a good man, just in the wrong place at the wrong time etc.  So an arrogant and incompetent official has become a victim of some sort.  Pure Genius.  People seem to forgot that his wife and his brother are doing business in China…and he is Secretary-General of What?  National Security Council?  Just by that he is unfit to the position.

But now let’s get to the point.  Most people, including me, are surprised, of course.  However, now I actually come up with a conspiracy theory that explain why his departure is in a timely manner.  Here it is:

The beef with bone negotiation thing with the US are to achieve two things:

  • Show to the US that Taiwan is not completely leaning toward China (when in fact Ma admin is lowering Taiwan’s defense faster than anyone anticipated)
  • Use this to stir up anti-American sentiment in Taiwan.

Ok, now you might wonder why stir up anti-American sentiment and how do they figure this beef thing will do that?

Why 1 –  Because Ma administration does not really want to buy any weapons from the US due to its complete pro-China view and his eventual unification goal.  However, he cannot refuse, because he promised to the US before that he would buy, not buying risks going against the US government or even the CIA.  Also, the military, although containing a lot of KMT supporters, cannot accept such refusal.  Furthermore, the backlash and panic of Taiwanese would be great, to the point that it might topple to government.  Therefore, Ma admin cannot right out refuse.  It has to stir up anti-American sentiment.

Why 2 – similarly to Why 1, Ma administration also hopes that the US actually refuse to sell weapons to Taiwan.  One way to achieve this is to messed up a deal with the US, such as  a beef deal. 

How do they figure this will work – I believe they follow the violent anti-American protest of South Korea after Korean government made the same stupid deal with the US, and want to replicate it.  Any sane and competent government, after seeing what happened in South Korea, would act carefully when dealing with similar issue.  But Ma administration actually goes the opposite way.  They charge right in as if they really really want to mess things up big time. 

However, they miscalculated the internal and external situation.  Internally, Taiwanese simply does not react the same way Korean do.  Although there are attempts by KMT to stir up anti-American sentiment and putting the blame on the US, overall it does not work too well.  Instead, blames are put squarely onto Su-Chi, Ma’s personal human shield (I believe Ma and his team are  the one making up this scheme, Shu Chi is just a glove doing the dirty work).  Externally the US also did not react the same way they expected.  In the end, the US still decided to sell Taiwan weapons, although the F-16 C/D and submarines sells are not granted…and perhaps they at least succeed in blocking those two.  (Of course, I think the US did not sell F-16 and subs because the US administrations are chickens when it comes to arm sell to Taiwan.  If it isn’t the TRA, they would use the arm requests document as toilet paper.  They probably feel more comfortable selling F-16 C/D to North Korea.  But who knows).

Since the scheme is over, most ultimently did not accomplish the 2 goals (create wide spread anti-American sentiment in Taiwan stop the US from selling arms) , Su Chi just step down.  Like he said, he has accomplished the interim tasks of the Ma administration.

Now the next dude that step in as NSC secretary-general, Hu Wei-jen, is even worse than Su Chi, in my opinion.  People should watch out for this guy, because based on his past record, he cannot be doing much good to Taiwan, but indeed doing harms.

UPDATE: A new editorial from Liberty Times on the related issue.  Actually one would not be too surprised if they change officials.  What is funny is how the pan-blue media once again tries to describe them as saviors.  The editorial is quite insightful though and pointed out how the root problem with Ma administration is not really who they use, but the wrong direction of policies and attitude.  (The article describe Ma’s attitude as that of the KMT 20 years ago during 蔣經國’s time when “KMT leads the government,” but that type of posture and attitude simply does not work anymore in today’s Taiwan.) 

UPDATE 2: Another article from Libert on the same topic.